East v West
Indian Paint Mines
hyperbolic times
Dr. Ileana Johnson Paugh
Polite debate is no longer the accepted norm in our society. The liberal left is not tolerating divergent opinions, they want them eliminated. Outrageous labels, personal threats, and even violence have escalated during what used to be polite discourse and disagreements of opinion. [Read more…]
…and another
another good evening
Coincidence?
Must Read: Look What Just Happened: Damning Expose Of The Greatest Fraud In History
By: Joan Swirsky
Any one of these ‘coincidences’ when taken singularly appear to not mean much, but when taken as a whole, a computer would blow a main circuit if you asked it to calculate the odds that they have occurred by chance alone. Sit back, get a favorite beverage, and then read and ponder the Obama-related ‘coincidences’ … then super-impose the bigger picture of most recent events i.e. Fast and furious, Benghazi, the IRS scandal and the NSA revelations … then pray for our country.
Obama just happened to [Read more…]
good evening
EC planning gets a *fail*
In the context of MOU argument at the BOCC meeting yesterday, planner Paul Crisan made much of his purpose on the Planning Commission and Oil & Gas Zoning Edit Committee to protect property values in Elbert County. The record does not appear to sustain the kind of support he assumes.
The most current census data shows total home property values in nearby counties as follows:
- Arapahoe $55.4 Billion
- Douglas $36.6 Billion
- Elbert $3.8 Billion
- El Paso $55.2 Bllion
On a per resident basis, census data shows average home property value as follows:
- Arapaho $93 Thousand
- Douglas $128 Thousand
- Elbert $132 Thousand
- El Paso $86 Thousand
So, Elbert County property values look pretty good on a per-resident basis, but only at about 10% of the total value of our next highest neighbor.
Elbert County planners have impoverished total home property value in Elbert County. They have restricted supply of valuable property and made us the poor cousins of the neighborhood. If your claim to fame is you’ve stopped everyone else from improving their lot in life by locking down the potential for economic growth, maybe you need to reevaluate your purpose. And this analysis does not include the value of commercial property which would make the numbers look tragically worse.
This is not a record that supports continuing the current planning philosophies governing Elbert County.
B_Imperial
MOU takes center stage
My favorite parts about the BOCC meeting yesterday were the many bias revelations by members of the planning commission, the oil & gas regulation edit committee, and the planning department [not mutually exclusive sets of people].
In contrast, all three members of the BOCC appeared to coalesce around the notion that MOU contract language should not be adversarial as a matter of policy, and that MOU subject matter should be determined between the negotiating parties at the time an MOU is memorialized. Frankly, people I know were encouraged to see the BOCC take an objectively reasonable approach on the MOU.
But hold on, Thayer, Crisan, Dorman, Brown, Corrado, Thomasson, Fenner, and Parkinson, all but two involved with drafting the regulations, had real trouble letting go of the county enacting an official baseline MOU.
All of them seem heavily vested in the notion of a self-fulfilling prophecy. Even though they went to great lengths to explain just how negotiable each MOU will be, for them an MOU is not so negotiable that the process to write one can begin without the county’s green policy terms already incorporated into the document.
What the county would forego by adopting a pro-forma MOU without such terms built in, according to this gang of 8, is protection of water and protection of property values. The BOCC didn’t agree with that argument, preferring to see, instead, a non-adversarial MOU format.
Moreover, It looks like COGCC enforcement of MOU terms is an unsettled practice. The gang of 8 are pushing to include MOU language into the well owners’ COGCC regulatory paperwork on the belief that inclusion will bring COGCC support in enforcement of the county’s MOU terms, perhaps over time elevating the effect of MOU terms to a regulatory status, or perhaps bringing help from the state on policing and discovery of MOU compliance.
But none of that is certain. The COGCC told the county in several previous meetings that MOU compliance is the county’s responsibility to enforce in civil court. How much help COGCC would provide to the county on enforcement of MOU terms that exceed COGCC’s statewide regulatory standards, which would basically be all of the MOU terms, appears to be a grey area at this time.
A larger question is what value operators would put on a 6 month zoning approval delay, and what increased costs they might consider accepting in an MOU to avoid spending that value. There is no general answer to this question since no two sets of operational circumstances will be identical — further reason for there not to be an MOU template that includes a set of one-size-fits-all terms.
The MOU is part of an unsavory proposition that Elbert County is planning to present to all potential operators — “To do business here instead of somewhere else where COGCC rules control without exception, you can lose X or you can lose Y. Choose your poison. And here’s the bill for our fees.”
The BOCC is right to insist on removing the adversarial components of the pro-forma MOU. Our zoning will have already told operators they are unwelcome in Elbert County. No need to rub it in with the MOU. It’s much better to use the MOU as an opportunity to mitigate what will have already started out to be a bad deal.
B_Imperial
the buggy ride
Thank you, Elbert County planners, for the buggy ride.
I read the proposed Oil & Gas regulations and the proposed Memorandum of Understanding to accompany the regulations.
To discover why Elbert County needs this new body of local zoning law, I went to the Colorado Oil & Gas Conservation Commission website to compare existing state regulations with the Elbert County proposals.
I read the topical cross reference index that correlates subjects to COGCC rules.
I read the table of contents for all COGCC rules.
I skimmed through the 180 pages of COGCC rules and regulations.
I skimmed through the 26 pages of Title 34, Article 60 of the Colorado Revised Statute enabling legislation for the COGCC.
I didn’t find anything in the Elbert County proposals that wasn’t already thoroughly dealt with in a much better written, unambiguous, and effective manner at the state level.
So, I’m left with the conclusion that the Elbert County Oil & Gas regulatory effort isn’t about regulating Oil & Gas at all. That leaves money.
A device to bring money into the county is the only reason left to explain this effort. Someone apparently decided that under existing zoning, Elbert County didn’t have sufficient legal hooks into this budding industry to scrape off some cash for itself.
So that’s why the big government types who control the county commissions and the county planning process have spent so much effort to get this done. Oil & Gas is just the latest funding source to grow their beloved government. And bonus points, the industry comes with a built-in clamoring segment of the public who dependably create the spectacle of a sense of urgency to push regulations through.
And you don’t even have to pay them. They just show up. Every time.
To those Elbert County citizens still capable of independent thought, which unfortunately rules out most of the folks planning to attend the BOCC meeting this Wednesday, I say take the Buggy Ride. Reach a different conclusion than I have if you can.
If Elbert County really needs more money and Oil & Gas is to be its cash cow, it would be much more honest and simple to embrace TABOR, make the tax argument to the people at large, and let the people decide the matter.
This regulatory sideshow will cause a nightmare of unintended consequences. Not only is it an extremely poor cousin to the state’s rules, but it’s a fundamentally undemocratic exercise in fascism without voter consent.
B_Imperial
oil well accounting
Oil wells have costs and, if all goes well, revenues. Ownership of an oil well is divided into two classes – working interest owners and royalty interest owners. Working interests are the people who drill and operate the well. Royalty interests are the mineral owners who grant the working interest owners the limited rights to mine minerals from their property.
All owners share in revenues from proceeds from the well according to a percentage called a division of interest [DOI]. All revenue interest divisions add up to 100% across both working interests and royalty interests.
Working interest owners also have a separate cost division of interest that adds to 100% for cost allocations. The working interest class of ownership pays all the costs incurred by the well from the cost of mineral rights acquisition through well construction, drilling, completion, and ongoing operations.
The working interest portion of the revenue DOI comprises the lions share of the total revenue division because the working interests take all the risks and incur all the costs. Income from well operations must first satisfy well costs — the oil or gas well must break even — before revenue begins to be available for revenue distribution across the entire revenue DOI.
Only when earnings from the well exceed costs does money become available for distribution across the revenue DOI ownership.
Adding costs to the oil well raises the breakeven point for the well, and reduces money available for return to revenue interest owners.
Regulation that unnecessarily increases the cost of well development, acts like a hidden tax levied against all of the well owners. It is a very selective tax, not born by the citizenship at large, and especially not born by the parties who promote it.
Elbert County is about to enter into a regulatory regime that duplicates much of the regulatory realm already covered by the Colorado Oil and Gas Conservation Commission, or COGCC. County regulations will unnecessarily add millions of dollars of cost to oil and gas well development. They will create pressure to add county jobs to administer all of the waivers from county regulations. They will turn potential revenues to DOI owners into well costs. A whole scheme of fees will divert potential revenue money into the county bureaucracy to cover new Elbert County administrative costs.
Worse still, it is not the citizenship at large who clamor for this regulatory regime. Clamoring comes from a minute percentage of environmental activists who not only don’t represent the citizenship at large, but they have no significant percentage in the stakeholding ownership of this industry in Elbert County.
Even worse still, is that they sell a regulatory regime on the myth of improving the health, safety and welfare to Elbert County citizens, when the regulations do nothing beyond what the COGCC already successfully does to guide environmentally sound oil and gas development, and in fact will probably create new devices masking problems in to-be-discovered bureaucratic imponderables.
The only citizens whose health, safety and welfare will be improved work for Elbert County government. This is a make-work jobs program for the Elbert County Community and Development Services Department, and the assorted consultants and counselors they will have to hire to provide industry knowledge.
These oil and gas regulations also create a deep well of Green v. Humanity subject matter to grease planning commission and BOCC meetings for the foreseeable future.
Who are the winners? Bureaucrats, politicians, environmental activists.
Who are the losers? Everyone else.
B_Imperial
the 90-10 fallacy
If 90% of the people want Elbert County to control things like oil & gas and water, how come we only ever hear from 10% of them?
10% seems all you need to get the Planning Commission and the BOCC to write up and pass new laws.
Are members of the Planning Commission and the BOCC so consumed by their own power that it only takes a handful of cheerleaders to make them execute?
in search of founded conclusions
The digital information tools for citizen journalists today enable us to effectively pull the covers off the sordid details of public malfeasance, corruption, the self-dealing and aggrandizement of public officials, and the broken state of traditional media.
Conservatives, by the hour, chronicle details of the broken, politically captive and insular mainstream media. Alarming as this is, why do we assume that the mainstream media was ever objective, non-political, or an effective 4th-estate check on government power?
On the contrary, a better case exists for the proposition that the essential nature of mainstream media is unchanged today from in the past. Organizational cultures simply don’t invert their behavior over time. They tend to persist in the characteristic behaviors of their organization.
Rather than get overwrought about how wrong the mainstream media is, and thereby lose focus on solvable mainstream issues, perhaps we should just admit that the mainstream media is as it always was, and that we’re just coming to see it in a more objective light for the first time.
Alternative media showed that traditional media did not live up to the potential the Founders gave it in the Constitution. Now we can move on and consider what the Founder’s were actually trying to accomplish.
The Federalists contemplated a constitutional objective for the country to have a legally protected free press, and this became the 1st Amendment. As we have seen, allowance for it did not guarantee it would be practiced. A free press, apparently, remains an ideal objective today.
The order of freedoms protected in the 1st Amendment – religion, speech, press, assembly, petition government – is significant. Subsequent rights build on preceeding rights. God gives us our fundamental rights, and from there the Constitution guarantees our rights to speak, to publish our speech, to get together publicly to discuss our speech, and then to take our conclusions to the government.
Nothing within the 1st Am., however, guarantees the quality or content of that protected speech. Nothing protects us against ignoble motives of a speaker. Nothing protects us against speech that promotes the interests of one, a few, or a subset of citizens, at the expense of the majority of citizens. Nothing protects us from organizations, whether it’s the press or other groups, who promulgate self-interested speech at the expense of the majority.
Sound speech is the only means we have in America to offset unsound speech. If we don’t practice it, we have only ourselves to blame for the tyranny that will ensue, and has ensued.
Absence of hyperbole, adherence to generally accepted facts, absence of personal attacks and diminutions, adherence to observable causation, language that narrows into rather than leads away from both the intent and form of the subject, these are some indicators of sound speech.
The supported conclusions that come from fairly represented facts fed through the prism of logically sound reasoning, are for us to discover, not dictate. The Left is as subject to founded conclusions as the rest of us, and that’s the reality the Founders intended for Americans to practice. Ultimately, it’s not a politically determined reality, it’s a reality discovered in the nature of all things.
The Founders were essentialists. The Constitution protects the essence of matters, in this case, the essence of public speech. They gave us a legal framework for us to accurately discover and respond to the true nature of reality. They avoided the hubris of determinism. They knew that freedom would serve us much better in our self-government experiment than a futile mechanism for one group to control another. They’d had enough of that sort of government.
Today, however, the Left never stops working to replace the Constitution in America with political action. The Left think that politics can and should determine reality. This unrealistic, reverse causal direction of theirs — that attempts to dictate the nature of things rather than respond to the nature of things — never seems to give them a moments pause as they control, regulate, modulate, temper, fund, defund, and serve the higher masters of their agenda.
But it’s a free country. If the Left want to blind themselves to the true nature of reality with a blizzard of determinism, they are free to do so. Fortunately, the rest of us are free to avoid those pitfalls.
For too long the Left dominated public speech in America. With a complicit media they’ve built massive bureaucratic and regulatory structures at every level of local, county, state and federal government in America. Across the land thousands of pages of new regulations get added to the books every day by a cadre’ of lawyers, bureaucrats, public servants and assorted do-gooders — a happy class of jovial elites ever ready to congratulate each other on their magnificent regulatory creations.
The Founders gave us a tool to change all that, to unwind this enormous Gordian knot, to take back our lives. All we have to do is use it.
B_Imperial